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Influencing Barack Obama's Second Act

The question is, what should we expect over the next four years? The answer actually depends on us much more than it does on President Obama.

There is a different feel in the air, and it should not be surprising. As historic as was the re-election of President Obama, nothing can replace the uniqueness of the opening of his first term four years ago. The expectations; the history that was made; the level of excitement...it was all too impossible to replicate.

The November 2012 re-election of the president, nevertheless, was a remarkable feat. Taking place during a time of war and economic crisis against a very well-funded opponent, combined with the Republican use of voter suppression efforts in many states, victory was far from assured. The forces of irrationalism were blunted in their tracks, however, at least for the moment.

Yet, as we approach Inauguration there are important concerns. In the 'fiscal cliff' negotiations, President Obama, despite the public being on his side, once again displayed his tendency towards what I would call over-compromising, a reluctance to engage in hard-bargaining and a tendency to blink at the wrong time. Yes, things could have been worse, but that does not mean that they went well.

Beyond the fiscal cliff there are other issues facing us: climate change; turmoil in the Middle East; the continued war in Afghanistan, the threat of war with Iran; and, obviously, the economy. On each of these issues and more, we should not assume – in fact, we cannot assume – that President Obama will be on the right side. The drone strikes in Pakistan continue, for instance, and so too do the attacks on civil liberties at home.

The question, then, is, what should we expect over the next four years? The answer actually depends on us much more than it does on President Obama. In the fiscal cliff negotiations, we saw what happens without us: the wrong compromises are made in the name of bi-partisanship. The problem is that Obama cannot be bi-partisan if the other side is being fanatically partisan. Such attempts appear to be surrender rather than responsible diplomacy.

Thus, the real answer to what to expect over the next four years comes down to two very different and clear scenarios: One, in the absence of pressure, the administration will offer wonderful rhetoric as it continues to retreat, or, two, the administration will be compelled to shift gears and fulfill the mandate that it received from the decisive November election as a result of pressure that it receives from people like us.

In case you missed this, the administration can only be compelled through mass action. That means more than emails and phone calls, but instead public displays of protest – boots on the ground. In addition, when we have Republicans in Congress who, due to gerrymandering, have districts that are solidly Republican and, thus, they have little fear of any electoral challenge, the only thing that will shake them up is if society is a bit shaken.

One thing that we do not need is to find ourselves, four years from now, asking why we did not do more when we had the chance. If we miss the moment, we may not have additional chances.

Bill Fletcher, Jr. is a Senior Scholar with the Institute for Policy Studies, the immediate past president of TransAfrica Forum, and the author of "They're Bankrupting Us" – And Twenty Other Myths about Unions. He can be reached at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. .

Comments   

 
0 #3 WALT HILL 2013-01-11 11:18
Each time Eric Cantor speak its the same old obstructionist rhetoric as it was in November 2011. speech at Northwestern
University about his parent from Europe working way into the American middle class was just another "Marco Rubio" type
bio for himself and republican "Fatcats." congressman Cantor is in a Virginia republican "safe" district which
guarantee him reelection due to his fatcat status. Cantor is doing nothing for all members of the 7th congressional district
as shown by the disasters(earth quake and hurricane) that occurred in Louisa county. congressman Cantor like to block
disaster funds and snub president Obama.
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0 #2 WALT HILL 2013-01-11 11:08
John Boehner and His conservative wing is terrified of the House's crazy and charlatan caucus! sensible republicans in the party are also terrified of them. Enraged tea party leaders are threatening to knock off dozens of Republicans who supported a measure that raised taxes on the nation's highest earners. "People are mad as hell. I'm right there with them," Amy Kremer, chairman of the Tea Party Express, said late last week, declaring that she has "no confidence" in the party her members typically support. Her remarks came after GOP lawmakers agreed to higher taxes but no broad spending cuts as part of a deal to avert the "fiscal cliff." The GOP's internal struggles to figure out what it wants to be were painfully exposed after Mitt Romney's loss to President Barack Obama on Nov. 6 and seems as divided and angry as ever.
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0 #1 WALT HILL 2013-01-11 11:03
The obvious truth about the Republican Party right now is that the tail is wagging the dog. Republicans accepts the ability of a few goofballs and a bunch of media hucksters to define what “real conservative” means and has produced a completely dysfunctional party making the United States increasingly difficult to govern. it’s a reminder that the key hostage game in Washington isn’t that Republicans are threatening the nation’s economy over the debt limit. It’s that mainstream conservatives have allowed themselves to be taken hostage by fools and clowns. The fiscal cliff impasse proves the tea party spirit still dominates the GOP. The GOP problem for their elected members is that the Tea Party’s power resides in Republican primaries, where they have deal considerable havoc in recent years. The clout for the Tea Party is in their potential primary challenges to elected members.
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